Beyond Mechanical Markets Asset Price Swings Risk and the Role of the State 1st Edition by Roman Frydman, Michael Goldberg 9781400838189 1400838185

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Product details:

ISBN 10: 1400838185

ISBN 13: 9781400838189

Author: Roman Frydman; Michael D. Goldberg

A powerful challenge to contemporary economics and a new agenda for global finance In the wake of the global financial crisis that began in 2007, faith in the rationality of markets has lost ground to a new faith in their irrationality. The problem, Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue, is that both the rational and behavioral theories of the market rest on the same fatal assumption—that markets act mechanically and economic change is fully predictable. In Beyond Mechanical Markets, Frydman and Goldberg show how the failure to abandon this assumption hinders our understanding of how markets work, why price swings help allocate capital to worthy companies, and what role government can and can’t play. The financial crisis, Frydman and Goldberg argue, was made more likely, if not inevitable, by contemporary economic theory, yet its core tenets remain unchanged today. In response, the authors show how imperfect knowledge economics, an approach they pioneered, provides a better understanding of markets and the financial crisis. Frydman and Goldberg deliver a withering critique of the widely accepted view that the boom in equity prices that ended in 2007 was a bubble fueled by herd psychology. They argue, instead, that price swings are driven by individuals’ ever-imperfect interpretations of the significance of economic fundamentals for future prices and risk. Because swings are at the heart of a dynamic economy, reforms should aim only to curb their excesses. Showing why we are being dangerously led astray by thinking of markets as predictably rational or irrational, Beyond Mechanical Markets presents a powerful challenge to conventional economic wisdom that we can’t afford to ignore.

Table of contents:

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Part I – The Critique
Chapter 1: The Invention of Mechanical Markets
Chapter 2: The Folly of Fully Predetermined History
Chapter 3: The Orwellian World of “Rational Expectations”
Chapter 4: The Figment of the “Rational Market”
Chapter 5: Castles in the Air: The Efficient Market Hypothesis
Chapter 6: The Fable of Price Swings as Bubbles

Part II – An Alternative
Chapter 7: Keynes and Fundamentals
Chapter 8: Speculation and the Allocative Performance of Financial Markets
Chapter 9: Fundamentals and Psychology in Price Swings
Chapter 10: Bounded Instability: Linking Risk and Asset-Price Swings
Chapter 11: Contingency and Markets
Chapter 12: Restoring the Market-State Balance

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Tags: Roman Frydman, Michael Goldberg, Beyond, Swings