Economic and Business Forecasting Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results 1st Edition by John Silvia, Azhar Iqbal, Kaylyn Swankoski, Sarah Watt, Sam Bullard 9781118569801 1118569806
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Economic and Business Forecasting Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results 1st Edition by John Silvia, Azhar Iqbal, Kaylyn Swankoski, Sarah Watt, Sam Bullard – Ebook PDF Instant Download/Delivery: 9781118569801, 1118569806
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Product details:
ISBN 10: 1118569806
ISBN 13: 9781118569801
Author: John E. Silvia, Azhar Iqbal, Kaylyn Swankoski, Sarah Watt, Sam Bullard
Due to the Great Recession (2007-09) and the accompanying financial crisis, the premium on effective economic analysis, especially the two aspects of that analysis and accurate forecasting of economic and financial variables, has significantly increased. Our book provides a comprehensive practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. This book discusses the importance of select economic and financial variables that provide special insights into economic performance and provides empirical evidence in support of their vital role to the economy/financial world and guidance for decision-makers; highlights simple data description and econometric techniques which can be used to characterize these variables; discusses the application of SAS software (provides SAS-code and explains SAS-output in simple and meaningful way); identifies key econometric issues in a practical setting and solution to those problems; provides a practical forecasting framework for important everyday applications; discusses issues related with the data (e.g., unit root, business cycle, structural change, etc.); and provides ten-commandments for economic and business forecasting.
Table of contents:
Chapter 1: Creating Harmony Out of Noisy Data
Chapter 2: First, Understand the Data
Chapter 3: Financial Ratios
Chapter 4: Characterizing a Time Series
Chapter 5: Characterizing a Relationship between Time Series
Chapter 6: Characterizing a Time Series Using SAS Software
Chapter 7: Testing for a Unit Root and Structural Break Using SAS Software
Chapter 8: Characterizing a Relationship Using SAS
Chapter 9: The 10 Commandments of Applied Time Series Forecasting for Business and Economics
Chapter 10: A Single-Equation Approach to Model-Based Forecasting
Chapter 11: A Multiple-Equations Approach to Model-Based Forecasting
Chapter 12: A Multiple-Equations Approach to Long-Term Forecasting
Chapter 13: The Risks of Model-Based Forecasting: Modeling, Assessing, and Remodeling
Chapter 14: Putting the Analysis to Work in the Twenty-First-Century Economy
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Tags: John Silvia, Azhar Iqbal, Kaylyn Swankoski, Business